sitelibrary.blogg.se - Emory method map projections

#EMORY METHOD MAP PROJECTIONS UPDATE#

As of early 2021, we estimate the true number of infected individuals in the US to be roughly 2-4x higher than the reported cases (25-50% detection rate). Our infections estimates include all infected individuals of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, not just those that took a COVID-19 test and tested positive. Infection-to-Case Ratio (as of Mar 7): 2.6 (38% detection rate) Newly Infected (as of Feb 21): 152,000 / dayĬurrently Infected (as of Feb 21): 1 in 140Īdjusted Positivity Rate (as of Mar 7): 4.0% Newly Vaccinated (as of Mar 7): 1,309,000 / day More details | Detailed methodology Last Updated: Monday, Ma(1am ET) Thank you for your support over the past year. Follow on Twitter for continued COVID-19 insights. Read Youyang Gu’s One Year Later blog post for a detailed explanation and for a list of alternate resources.

#EMORY METHOD MAP PROJECTIONS UPDATE#

March 8, 2021: We made our last daily update on March 7 (containing infections estimates through February 21, 2021).

Over the past year, we have posted quite a bit of original research on Twitter, so feel feel to take a look and give them a read. We also compiled a list of all of our COVID-19-related Tweets here. Click here to see a sitemap of all of the pages on this site.

March 24, 2021: We’ve been working on indexing our work from the past year.

April 26, 2021: Click here to see a comparison of our final vaccination/infection projections from March 5 to what actually happened.

Also learn about rising Asian hate in America and how you can help combat it. See how systemic racism is driving high COVID-19 death rates in the Asian American community. Read Youyang’s Tweet about COVID-19 and the model minority myth.

May is Asian American and Pacific Islander (AAPI) Heritage Month.

May 11, 2021: See our analysis comparing states that kept vs dropped mask mandates.

May 13, 2021: See our analysis on estimating current excess deaths in the US.

May 25, 2021: Is containing COVID-19 a requirement for preserving the economy? Our latest analysis suggests: probably not.June 22, 2021: See our thread on the single best predictor of total COVID-19 deaths by state: income inequality.This calculator estimates the true proportion of a population that have immunity against COVID-19, factoring both immunity from vaccination and natural infection. June 24, 2021: See our new COVID-19 Population Immunity Calculator.July 1, 2021: See the accuracy of our vaccinations projections 4 months later.See our calculations based on LA County data. October, 2021: We believe the current vaccine efficacy is currently around 50-60% against symptomatic infection.For our historical maps, including county-level views, visit the Maps page.įor regular updates and insights, follow Youyang Gu on Twitter: October 1, 2021: See Youyang’s latest blog post on the role of inequality in Covid outcomes. Visit our About page to learn more about the different models. For vaccination projections in early 2021, see our Path to Normality page. We have estimates for all US states and all 3,000+ US counties.

We present a new, simple nowcasting model that estimates true infections in the US. To learn more about Youyang’s current work on Covid inequality, click here. COVID-19 Projections Using Machine Learning | We use artificial intelligence to accurately forecast infections, deaths, and recovery timelines of the COVID-19 / coronavirus pandemic in the US and globally COVID-19 Projections Using Machine Learning We use artificial intelligence to accurately forecast infections, deaths, and recovery timelines of the COVID-19 / coronavirus pandemic in the US and globally Home About Path to Normality Twitter Threads Infections Estimates Maps Site Map Contact Donate Announcement: We made our last daily update on Ma( blog post).